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Just when I thought things might be getting better in the Jacksonville real estate market...

This was in the Jacksonville Business Journal daily update: 40% Chance of Lower Home Prices Jacksonville Business Journal - 3:41 PM EDT Tuesday, June 19, 2007 There is a two in five chance that home prices will be lower in Jacksonville in two years, according to figures from PMI Mortgage Insurance Co. The company's 2007 U.S. Market Risk Index ranks the 50 largest metropolitan statistical areas in the country according to the likelihood that prices will drop in the next two years. The rankings are based on home price appreciation, per capita household income and mortgage rates. Jacksonville's score of 394 translates into a 39.4 percent chance prices will be lower in 2009. Four Florida MSAs -- West Palm Beach, Orlando, Fort Lauderdale and Tampa -- have a better than 50 percent chance of prices being lower in two years. Jacksonville's score was No. 22 in the rankings of the top 50 MSAs, in part because appreciation of home prices went from 22 percent in the first quarter of 20...

Better think twice about waiting to buy!

Rates on 30-year mortgages jump Mortgage Rate Trend Index Rates will continue to rise over the next 30 to 45 days, say 58 percent of the mortgage experts polled by Bankrate.com. Only 16 percent say rates will fall; the remaining 26 percent predicting little change. WASHINGTON – June 8, 2007 – Rates on 30-year mortgages rose for a fourth straight week, hitting the highest level in 10 months, as bond markets responded to strong employment growth.Mortgage giant Freddie Mac reported Thursday that 30-year, fixed-rate mortgages averaged 6.53 percent this week. That was up sharply from 6.42 percent last week and represented the highest point for 30-year mortgages since they averaged 6.55 percent on Aug. 10. I think the rates are going to continue to rise in the coming months. If you're sitting on the fence right now, thinking about buying---I think you'd better consider making your move! Call me today and we'll talk about making an offer on one of those over-priced houses out th...

Buyers Market in Jacksonville!

...NAR lowers expectations for home sales, prices Forecast calls for 1.3% drop in median existing-home prices Wednesday, June 06, 2007 Inman News The National Association of Realtors again lowered its forecast for 2007 existing-home sales today, following a downward adjustment last month, and also lowered expectations for home prices. Existing-home sales are expected to fall 4.6 percent this year to 6.18 million, compared with 6.48 million in 2006, with new single-family home sales dropping 18.2 percent and housing starts dropping 20.4 percent. Housing starts for single-family units are expected to decline 23 percent this year compared to 2006. From Inman News This news really surprises me! After attending class at NEFAR for the past 2 days, I was hearing all kinds of optimism from other agents. I think if you're representing buyers, you are loving this market! For those of us that also have listings, it's not all that fun.... To be continued...

More depressing real estate news in Jacksonville

...A day after the U.S. Commerce Department reported a surge in the sale of new homes across the country, FAR reported that sales of existing single-family homes in the first quarter of 2007 fell 26 percent in Florida, while the median price dropped 3 percent to $237,000. In Jacksonville, sales dropped 14 percent from the first quarter of last year and the median price edged up 1 percent to $199,500. Sales were down by at least 9 percent in 19 of the 20 markets tracked by FAR. Jacksonville was one of only six markets that saw an increase in the median price, with none more substantial than the 4 percent increase in Tallahassee. In the condominium market, things were even worse. The median price of an existing condo in Jacksonville dipped 7 percent to $152,300, and sales were down 23 percent from the first quarter a year ago. Sales were down 30 percent statewide and the median price was up less than 1 percent to $210,800... This info was provided by FAR (FL Association of Realtors) and ...

A little more gas on the fire...

"...Mortgage giant Freddie Mac reported Thursday that 30-year, fixed-rate mortgages averaged 6.37 percent nationwide this week, up from 6.21 percent last week. It was the highest level for 30-year mortgages since they averaged 6.40 percent the week of Oct. 26.Analysts said the second consecutive weekly increase in 30-year mortgage rates after they had been unchanged or fallen for a month reflected concerns in financial markets that inflation worries will keep the Fed from cutting rates in coming months."Stronger than expected consumer confidence and recent comments from members of the Fed raised some inflation concerns in the market, causing it to lower expectations of a Fed rate cut this year," said Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac's chief economist." Maybe this is the impetus needed to make some buyers get off the fence. With interest rates rising, NOW may be the time to make that offer on a home you've been looking at! It could mean saving a LOT of money on a...

Jacksonville Homes For Sale 34 S 26th Ave 32250

This is one of my favorite listings! I'd love to show it to you at your convenience. Just give me a call and I'll be happy to meet you there. 34 South 26th Ave Jacksonville Beach, FL This beautiful beach home is just steps to the ocean. It has been completely refurbished, including: new paint, new roof, new appliances, new tile, new lighting fixtures, new pulmbing fixtures, new siding, new insulation, and much more! This home is now like new. Listed at $895,000 MLS #350763

Proof that the Real Estate Picture is being sugar coated

I have been watching our own little world right here in Jacksonville. The press releases and the information that I kept hearing just didn't match up with what I was reading right on our own MLS! I knew the national story was bleak too after spending countless hours in newsgroups and doing research. I came across this article and thought it was finally giving some concrete numbers to the dreary picture I have been seeing. See if you don't find the article below VERY credible. Closing Data : We purchase and compile actual home closing data for approximately 181 counties across the country, which captures the counties where about 55 percent of the U.S. population lives and a significant percentage of all of the counties where the large home builders are active. This data shows that sales have fallen 22 percent if you compare sales over the last 12 months to the prior 12 months. On a straight year-over-year comparison, the decline is much more. Mortgage Bankers Association (MB...

Another "List Em and LEAVE Em" Real Estate Story

I continually hear people say that their realtor bugged them for weeks to get them to list their house with them. They finally agreed to list it and they never saw the realtor again!! I'm not exaggerating! Check out this story.... New example of a “list em and leave em” real estate company Wednesday, May 02, 2007 JANESVILLE, Wis. — A couple checking out a house for sale were shocked to discover the 55-year-old homeowner dead in her bed. Authorities said foul play was not suspected. Real estate agent Linda Chabucos-Galow stood in the dining room while Justin and Colleen McKeen walked through a house Monday night. Before long, she heard Colleen McKeen scream. "I thought, 'What's wrong?' Maybe it was a dead mouse or something," Chabucos-Galow said. But then she peered into the bedroom and saw the body of Linda L. O'Leary. An autopsy determined O'Leary had been dead for two to three weeks, Rock County Coroner Jenifer Keach said Wednesday. The cause of ...

Jacksonville Real Estate scene Mid April

Prices continue to drop in the Jacksonville market. The number of days on market also remains steady at around 129 days. There appears to be a trend of late in the % of the sales price vs the listing price...homes are averaging a 10% difference between the asking/listing price and the price the house actually sells for. If you have your house on the market for $399,000.00--you can expect to sell it for $39,900.00 less! Wow! This is-if you're lucky. This number continues to rise so I think it's possible that in some cases, you may have to take a 15% cut, or more, depending on your motivation to sell. All of this info is strictly concerning the beaches market. And there are still exceptions--not many--but maybe a few. This is still a buyers market! If you're considering buying a home, just give me a call and I'll go to work for you.

No Aprils Fool Joke

No joke here. The prices continue to drop in the Beaches market. After a midnight check of the latest price changes, the trend continues. I fully expected to see things cool off, with the interest rates at an all time low, I thought prices would level off, but this isn't the case. The correction continues! I'm going to research the "Days on Market" numbers next. It appears that homes continue to sit on the market longer and longer... I'm curious to see how many days they're staying on the market compared to years past. To be continued...

Is the Times Union for real??

The article in the weekend edition of The FL Times Union was all about how prices have bottomed out and now the worst of the real estate slump is over. REALLY?? I don't think so. I don't know where in the world they are getting this info. I just logged out of MLS after checking the latest numbers. There were many, many price changes tonight in the Beaches area. The average drop was approx $14,000.00. Some were (once again) as much as a 50 thousand dollar drop. I don't see ANY price increases which would indicate that there has been a "turn around". I will keep you posted. In the meantime, call me if you're thinking about buying--this truly is (still) a buyers market!! Til next time, Ronda

Friends don't let friends buy without a REALTOR

I'm amazed that NAR (National Association of Realtors) doesn't spend some of those bazillion dollars to educate the public. I still don't think that people understand that when they buy a house, they need to have a REALTOR representing them. NOT THE REALTOR ON THE SIGN. They need their OWN REALTOR representing their interests, not the sellers. It doesn't cost the buyer ANYTHING to have a REALTOR representing them. The seller pays the REALTOR commissions, not the buyer. When the listing agent sells the home, the REALTOR becomes a "Transaction Broker". This means that the REALTOR represents both sides equally and owes both sides certain duties. I've closed several times (okay, twice) and represented both sides. It's a whole different ballgame. The transaction happened without a hitch and everyone was represented fairly, honestly and with due diligence. I think I am going to specialize in Buyer Agency representation. I have some buyer clients that I'm...

A Little Gator Told Me Prices Have Bottomed Out....

Here's what the Gator said: A University of Florida study suggests the state's single-family residential housing market has bottomed out. "If you're thinking of buying a house, there's probably not much to be gained by holding out at this point," said Wayne Archer, director of UF's Bergstrom Center for Real Estate Studies. "It doesn't look like prices are going to fall anymore." The quarterly survey of real estate industry professionals completed in January shows the share of respondents observing a drop in single-family housing prices has dipped, while a growing number find prices staying even with inflation. "We see that as a benchmark," Archer said. "When prices maintain the same level as inflation, then we're probably in some kind of equilibrium. It indicates the market is stabilizing." The exception is condominiums, which Archer said are overbuilt and prone to speculative and naïve investors. But the overall news...

Official Washington, DC forecast-take with a grain of salt

Home sales forecast brighter in ‘07 WASHINGTON – March 12, 2007 – Anyone selling a home in the past year has likely suffered through some pretty stormy markets, but economists say a break in the clouds may be on the way. That’s because since the highly anticipated “real estate bubble” began deflating in mid-2005, has been losing air for the past year and a half and may finally be out of air. And while some markets suffered through some deep slumps, forecasters are now predicting the worst may be over. “It appears we are getting very close to bottom,” says David Lereah, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors. Lereah is one of several economists who agree that sales data show the national existing home sales market is on the verge of regaining ground. “Sales have hovered for the last four months, scratching bottom and then coming up, scratching bottom and coming up again. We are comfortable this is now the bottom,” he says. But before you put away that umbrella, it migh...

Jacksonville Beach Buyers Agent Update

After further review, it appears that the downward spiral continues in the beaches real estate pricing. I continue to see prices dropping at an alarming rate. This is truly a buyers market! I think that the downward trend will probably continue through the Spring buying months. I am waiting and watching for a leveling off, but so far, there's no evidence of that. Now is the time to buy a house at the beach. Interest rates are very low right now and there are lots of houses on the market. Call me today for some detailed information on any home you're interested in looking at. As your agent, I will: Assure that you see all the properties in the area that meet your criteria. Not just those listed on the local MLS, but also many un-listed properties that I find through my local contacts and affiliations. Guide you through the entire process, from finding homes to look at, to getting the best financing. Make sure you don't pay too much for your new home. As a real estate expert ...

How low will the prices go?

Depending on who you listen to, either we're just getting started with the correction, or it's now over! I prefer to be more realistic. After all, real estate truly is local. The trend in one part of the country, or in one part of the state may differ from ours. I continue to be amazed at the price changes in the Jacksonville Beaches market. The hardest hit area appears to be Atlantic Beach. For now, the houses on the market seem to be sitting there...forever. After numerous price drops, they continue to sit. After seeing the same houses on the market for months and months, the picture is quite clear. It ain't low enough yet!The number of lookers continues to increase. The problem isn't with the number of lookers, it's with the number of takers!We all continue to wonder: how low will they go??? In the meantime, stop by my website for lots of helpful info. www.jaxrealtoronline.com

Is that the sound of falling prices??

You bet it is! It is like fingernails on a chalkboard! What in the world is going on at the beach? Prices continue to drop at an alarming rate. Is this the famous "correction" we have been hearing about? I check MLS every night at midnight to see what the numbers are and I've been blown away by the price changes I'm seeing. I mean, can you believe that a house could drop ONE HUNDRED THOUSAND DOLLARS overnight? Well, it's happening! Do you think that maybe the house was overpriced to begin with? Duh. I'm a new REALTOR so I still care about all of these numbers. No, I wasn't around (unfortunately) during the days of "putting a sign in the yard and having a bidding war 30 minutes later! Wow! I wish. Nope, I'm building my career the old fashioned way.....hard work, tons of research, lots of classes and by knowing my market better than anyone else. I'll be checking the MLS nightly and will pass that info along to you. I think you'll find the nu...